An intermittent update.
Corbyn is now the Labour leader, and despite chucking money away by laying him at over 100-1 I managed to buy a couple of pounds at around 500. That represents my total profit on the event and well despite thinking I could have earnt more a grand in hand is worth a thousand pounds.
So thank you very much Jeremy !
He's also worth backing to keep his job in my view (For a while anyway...) betting on the obvious is normally a good way to make money in politics, Victor was 4-6 for him still to be in in 2017 which looks fair enough. Labour are also not doing so well in the polls but they're not in the catastrophic twenties, and the only Labourite who has a pair and would perhaps be willing to launch a coup is Watto who has problems of his own. Take the Victor bet if its still up at anything over 1-2.
The by-election in Oldham West and Royton is a penalty kick for Labour, and Skybet's 2-9 is a very generous price if still available. This is a sub 1-10 bet in reality.
On the London Mayoralty, 5-6;6-5 is probably correct, and I'm currently long Zac. We shall see though closer to the time. If Khan goes above Evens he is a buy but he will probably remain around 8-11.
Now onto Con next leader. I think though there are many runners and riders, one stands out in particular. George Osborne looks like he will run in my book and is a back at the current price of 2-1.
In the States, surely Hilary is unstoppable for the Dems, thankyou Paddy for the 5-6 on Iowa which she must be hot favourite for. I'm positive Clinton and roughly neutral on Sanders. Surely Lessig is in reality a true 1000-1 or longer shot, and there are no other runners.
It'll be Clinton....
The republican race meanwhile is the greatest circus in town with all the fruit loops (Trump; Carson; Cruz) crowding out the more moderate and sensible choices (Bush; Rubio). I'd say lay them all, but one MUST win ! Hopefully Carson will come into single figures soon on the betfair exchange so we can start laying him. Small stakes only on this one.
